Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Sparta Praha vs Teplice preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Sparta Praha take on Teplice on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at epet ARENA. Sparta Praha are 4th with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Teplice sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sparta Praha's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Lyon 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Teplice's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Plzen 5–5 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Teplice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Sparta Praha and 1.0 for Teplice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Praha 70%, draw 18%, Teplice 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sparta Praha 2–1 Teplice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Praha70%fair 1.44 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @4.55
Teplice13%fair 7.80 · @7.30
3.58Expected goals
2.55Sparta Praha xG
1.04Teplice xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.5 – 1.0 Teplice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.45
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Form
Sparta Praha – last 6
LLWWLL
11 Aug
@ Lyon
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Lyon
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Zlin
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Zbrojovka Brno
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Teplice – last 6
DWWWWD
8 Aug
vs Plzen
5–5
D
1 Aug
@ Slovan Liberec
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Bohemians 1905
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Ružomberok
3–0
W
8 Jul
vs Táborsko
3–0
W
4 Jul
vs Příbram
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Teplice.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Teplice 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 2–1 Teplice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
