Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Mlada Boleslav to win @ 3.05 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPardubice to win ✗39% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav preview and prediction
The match
Pardubice host Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Letni Stadion. Pardubice are 12th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Mlada Boleslav sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pardubice's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Slavia Praha 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Mlada Boleslav's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sparta Praha 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mlada Boleslav arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Pardubice and 1.5 for Mlada Boleslav. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Mlada Boleslav to win at 3.05 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pardubice39%fair 2.54 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Mlada Boleslav38%fair 2.61 · @3.05
3.11Expected goals
1.57Pardubice xG
1.54Mlada Boleslav xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Pardubice 1.6 – 1.5 Mlada Boleslav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pardubice to win✗
39%
2.54
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pardubice / FT Pardubice✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Pardubice – last 6
LLLWLD
9 Aug
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Vysočina Jihlava
5–0
W
9 Jul
@ Cracovia Krakow
0–2
L
5 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mlada Boleslav – last 6
WDWWWW
8 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Sigma Olomouc
2–2
D
27 Jul
@ Artis
4–2
W
18 Jul
vs Ried
4–0
W
15 Jul
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
11 Jul
vs Táborsko
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pardubice and Mlada Boleslav.
What is the prediction for Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
On our numbers Pardubice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mlada Boleslav 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our predicted score is Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Letni Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
