Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Příbram to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPříbram to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chancePříbram or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Příbram vs Třinec preview and prediction
The match
Třinec travel to UMT Pribram in the FNL on Friday 16 October (17:00 WAT) to face Příbram.
Form guide
Příbram's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Hanácká 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Třinec's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kladno 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Příbram and 0.9 for Třinec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Příbram 64%, draw 23%, Třinec 13%.
Safer route: Příbram or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Příbram to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Příbram or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Příbram 2–0 Třinec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Příbram64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Třinec13%fair 7.77 · @4.00
3.05Expected goals
2.15Příbram xG
0.90Třinec xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Příbram 2.2 – 0.9 Třinec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Příbram to win✗
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Příbram or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Příbram ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Příbram / FT Příbram✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.13
–
Form
Příbram – last 6
WLDLLD
10 Oct
@ Hanácká
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Mlada Boleslav
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Kladno
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Hradec Králové
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Baník Ostrava II
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Třinec – last 6
LWLLWL
10 Oct
vs Kladno
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Podbeskidzie
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
0–3
L
15 Sep
vs Mlada Boleslav
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Karviná
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Vlašim
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Příbram and Třinec.
Our pick is Příbram or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Příbram vs Třinec?
On our numbers Příbram have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Třinec 13%.
How many goals will there be in Příbram vs Třinec?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Příbram vs Třinec?
Our predicted score is Příbram 2–0 Třinec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Příbram vs Třinec?
Příbram vs Třinec (FNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at UMT Pribram.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karviná3
Dukla Praha0