Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Karviná to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceKarviná or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Karviná vs Dukla Praha preview and prediction
The match
The FNL sees Karviná take on Dukla Praha on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Form guide
Karviná's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Táborsko 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dukla Praha's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Baník Ostrava II 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Karviná and 1.1 for Dukla Praha. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karviná 62%, draw 23%, Dukla Praha 15%.
Safer route: Karviná or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Karviná to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karviná or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karviná 2–1 Dukla Praha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karviná62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Dukla Praha15%fair 6.64 · @3.60
3.40Expected goals
2.29Karviná xG
1.11Dukla Praha xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Karviná 2.3 – 1.1 Dukla Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karviná or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Karviná – last 6
WDWLWL
9 Oct
@ Táborsko
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Hanácká
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Třinec
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Kladno
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Příbram
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dukla Praha – last 6
WLDWWW
12 Oct
vs Baník Ostrava II
3–2
W
2 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Prostějov
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Vlašim
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Opava
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Dukla Praha.
What is the prediction for Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Our pick is Karviná or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
On our numbers Karviná have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dukla Praha 15%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Our predicted score is Karviná 2–1 Dukla Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Karviná vs Dukla Praha (FNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Baník Ostrava II2
Slavia Praha II1
Vlašim1
Hanácká0
Opava1
Vysočina Jihlava3
Příbram2
Třinec3
Prostějov2
Ústí nad Labem2