Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarquense to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
Marquense vs Antigua GFC preview and prediction
The match
Marquense host Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Antigua GFC sit 5th on 34 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Malacateco 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antigua GFC's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Mixco 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Antigua GFC 3–1 Marquense. Across their last 2 meetings Marquense have won 0, Antigua GFC 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Marquense and 1.0 for Antigua GFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Marquense or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Antigua GFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Antigua GFC18%fair 5.63 · @4.00
2.86Expected goals
1.90Marquense xG
0.96Antigua GFC xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.9 – 1.0 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Our pick is Marquense or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Marquense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Antigua GFC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Marquense vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
