Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio VerapazCobán Imperial vs Malacateco prediction & analysis
Cobán Imperial to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.9 – 0.8 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cobán Imperial are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Malacateco.
Cobán Imperial have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Malacateco have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Cobán Imperial, 0.8 for Malacateco). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Cobán Imperial have won 1, Malacateco have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Cobán Imperial to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cobán Imperial to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Cobán Imperial or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Half-time result | Cobán Imperial ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.13 | – |
Form
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Aurora | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Xelajú | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Guastatoya | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Suchitepéquez | 2–3 | L |
Malacateco – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Marquense | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Mixco | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Municipal | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Antigua GFC | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Suchitepéquez | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Aurora | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Jul 2026 | Malacateco v Cobán Imperial | 1–1 |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Malacateco v Cobán Imperial | 2–0 |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Malacateco | 2–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Cobán Imperial to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malacateco 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.