Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Mixco vs Antigua GFC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Mixco take on Antigua GFC on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Antigua GFC sit 5th on 34 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mixco's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Malacateco 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Antigua GFC's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Xelajú 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Mixco and 1.6 for Antigua GFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mixco 1–1 Antigua GFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Antigua GFC36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
3.26Expected goals
1.66Mixco xG
1.60Antigua GFC xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.7 – 1.6 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✓
39%
2.56
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Form
Mixco – last 6
LWLDLW
21 Sep
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Aurora
3–2
W
9 Sep
@ Deportivo San Pedro
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Comunicaciones
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–4
L
28 Aug
vs Alianza FC
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Antigua GFC – last 6
LWWWLL
24 Sep
@ Xelajú
0–4
L
15 Sep
vs Suchitepéquez
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Malacateco
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Aurora
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
3–4
L
27 Aug
@ CS Herediano
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Antigua GFC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Mixco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Antigua GFC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Antigua GFC?
Mixco vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
