Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio VerapazCobán Imperial vs Aurora prediction & analysis
Cobán Imperial to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.9 – 0.9 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cobán Imperial hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Aurora.
Cobán Imperial have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Aurora have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Aurora come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Cobán Imperial, 0.9 for Aurora). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Cobán Imperial have won 0, Aurora have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Cobán Imperial to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cobán Imperial to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Cobán Imperial or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Cobán Imperial ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.67 | – |
Form
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Xelajú | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Guastatoya | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Suchitepéquez | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Marquense | 1–2 | L |
Aurora – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Marquense | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Mixco | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Municipal | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Antigua GFC | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Malacateco | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Suchitepéquez | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Apr 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Aurora | 0–0 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Aurora v Cobán Imperial | 1–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
Our pick is Cobán Imperial to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurora 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.