Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.68Odds
2
Value bet: Guastatoya to win @ 3.38 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuchitepéquez to win ✗41% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya preview and prediction
The match
Suchitepéquez host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 03:10 (WAT).
Form guide
Suchitepéquez's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Malacateco 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Guastatoya's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Cobán Imperial 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guastatoya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Suchitepéquez and 1.1 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 36%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Guastatoya to win at 3.38 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.68. Predicted score: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Suchitepéquez41%fair 2.41 · @2.11
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.50
Guastatoya33%fair 3.01 · @3.38
2.32Expected goals
1.24Suchitepéquez xG
1.07Guastatoya xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.2 – 1.1 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suchitepéquez to win✗
41%
2.41
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.68
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.27
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suchitepéquez / FT Suchitepéquez✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Suchitepéquez – last 6
LWLLLL
6 Sep
@ Malacateco
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Cobán Imperial
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Aurora
2–3
L
17 Aug
vs Marquense
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Mixco
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 6
WLLWLW
6 Sep
@ Cobán Imperial
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Marquense
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Mixco
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Municipal
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Malacateco
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suchitepéquez and Guastatoya.
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 33%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya?
Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
