Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTriglav to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Triglav vs Jesenice preview and prediction
The match
The 2. SNL sees Triglav take on Jesenice on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium. Triglav are 3rd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Jesenice sit 8th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Triglav's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Primorje 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jesenice's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Dren Vrhnika 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Jesenice 0–3 Triglav.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Triglav and 0.9 for Jesenice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Triglav 59%, draw 24%, Jesenice 17%.
Safer route: Triglav or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triglav to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Triglav 1–0 Jesenice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triglav59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Jesenice17%fair 5.90 · @3.80
2.86Expected goals
1.92Triglav xG
0.94Jesenice xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Triglav 1.9 – 0.9 Jesenice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Triglav vs Jesenice?
On our numbers Triglav have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jesenice 17%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Jesenice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Jesenice?
Our predicted score is Triglav 1–0 Jesenice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Jesenice?
Triglav vs Jesenice (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
