Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBistrica to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Bistrica vs Rudar preview and prediction
The match
Bistrica host Rudar in the 2. SNL on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Bistrica are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Rudar sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bistrica's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tabor Sežana 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rudar's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Dravinja 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Rudar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Bistrica and 1.1 for Rudar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bistrica 59%, draw 20%, Rudar 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bistrica to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bistrica 2–1 Rudar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bistrica59%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Rudar21%fair 4.66 · @3.10
3.12Expected goals
2.01Bistrica xG
1.12Rudar xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bistrica 2.0 – 1.1 Rudar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win✓
59%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Bistrica – last 6
LLWLWW
26 Sep
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Dravinja
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Brežice
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Triglav
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rudar – last 6
WWWLWL
28 Sep
vs Dravinja
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brežice
4–3
W
13 Sep
vs Triglav
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ Dren Vrhnika
2–4
L
29 Aug
vs Bilje
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Rudar.
Our pick is Bistrica to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bistrica vs Rudar?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rudar 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Rudar?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Rudar?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 2–1 Rudar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Rudar?
Bistrica vs Rudar (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
