Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTriglav to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Triglav vs Bistrica preview and prediction
The match
Bistrica travel to Stanko Mlakar Stadium in the 2. SNL on Friday 4 September (17:00 WAT) to face Triglav. Triglav are 3rd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Bistrica sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Triglav's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Dravinja 4–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bistrica's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Dren Vrhnika 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Triglav and 0.9 for Bistrica. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Triglav 65%, draw 22%, Bistrica 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triglav to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Triglav 2–0 Bistrica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triglav65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.40
Bistrica13%fair 7.83 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.13Triglav xG
0.87Bistrica xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Triglav 2.1 – 0.9 Bistrica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Triglav – last 6
WLWDWW
29 Aug
@ Dravinja
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–0
W
22 May
@ Nafta
1–1
D
6 May
vs Dekani
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Jesenice
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bistrica – last 6
WWLDLW
29 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ilirija
0–6
L
7 Aug
@ Krka
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Voitsberg
4–5
L
23 May
vs Slovan Ljubljana
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triglav and Bistrica.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Triglav vs Bistrica?
On our numbers Triglav have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bistrica 13%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Bistrica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Bistrica?
Our predicted score is Triglav 2–0 Bistrica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Bistrica?
Triglav vs Bistrica (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
