2. SNL · SloveniaIlirija vs Primorje prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ilirija 1.5 – 1.4 Primorje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Ilirija and Primorje on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Ilirija have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Primorje have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Ilirija, 1.4 for Primorje). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ilirija to win ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ilirija / FT Ilirija ✗ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.67 | – |
Form
Ilirija – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Slovan Ljubljana | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Rudar | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Bistrica | 6–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Dravinja | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | vs Beltinci | 1–3 | L |
| 6 May | @ Dravinja | 1–2 | L |
Primorje – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Krka | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Beltinci | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Dekani | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Krško | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | @ Nafta | 0–1 | L |
| 27 May | vs Nafta | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilirija and Primorje.
2. SNL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tabor Sežana | 14 | +17 | 34 |
| 2 |  Beltinci | 14 | +24 | 31 |
| 3 |  Triglav | 14 | +18 | 31 |
| 4 |  Bilje | 14 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Bistrica | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Ilirija | 14 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Rudar | 14 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Jesenice | 14 | +1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Dekani | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Slovan Ljubljana | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 |  Krka | 14 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Primorje | 14 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dravinja | 14 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 |  Dren Vrhnika | 14 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 |  Krško | 14 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Brežice | 14 | -16 | 7 |
More 2. SNL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ilirija vs Primorje?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Ilirija vs Primorje?
On our numbers Ilirija have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Primorje 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Primorje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Ilirija vs Primorje?
Ilirija vs Primorje (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.