Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: OH Leuven to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOH Leuven to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceOH Leuven or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
OH Leuven vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
OH Leuven host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Den Dreef. OH Leuven are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lommel United sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
OH Leuven's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Francs Borains 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lommel United's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to St. Truiden 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 July 2026, finished OH Leuven 5–1 Lommel United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for OH Leuven and 0.7 for Lommel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: OH Leuven 63%, draw 20%, Lommel United 17%.
Safer route: OH Leuven or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: OH Leuven to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was OH Leuven or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: OH Leuven 1–0 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
OH Leuven63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Lommel United17%fair 5.98 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.69OH Leuven xG
0.69Lommel United xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: OH Leuven 1.7 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our pick is OH Leuven or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
On our numbers OH Leuven have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lommel United 17%.
How many goals will there be in OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is OH Leuven 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
OH Leuven vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Den Dreef.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
