Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · BosuilstadionAntwerp vs Charleroi prediction & analysis
Charleroi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Antwerp 1.1 – 2.3 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Charleroi travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 20% for Antwerp.
Antwerp have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Charleroi have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Charleroi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.1 for Antwerp, 2.3 for Charleroi). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Antwerp have won 0, Charleroi have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Charleroi to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Charleroi to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Charleroi ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.34 | – |
Form
Antwerp – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Heist | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ KVC Westerlo | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Union St. Gilloise | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Club Brugge KV | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Standard Liege | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs St. Truiden | 1–4 | L |
Charleroi – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Albert Quévy-Mons | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Standard Liege | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Cercle Brugge | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Zulte Waregem | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Union St. Gilloise | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Kortrijk | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0–1 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 2–1 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 11 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 11 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Gent | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lommel United | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Genk | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Standard Liege | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |  OH Leuven | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  KV Mechelen | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Zulte Waregem | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  SK Beveren | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cercle Brugge | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louvière | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 11 | -19 | 4 |
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Charleroi to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Antwerp have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Charleroi 66%.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Charleroi?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Antwerp vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bosuilstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.