Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge preview and prediction
The match
Cercle Brugge travel to Stade du Pays de Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 19 September (17:15 WAT) to face Charleroi. Charleroi are 4th with 27 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cercle Brugge sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charleroi's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Zulte Waregem 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cercle Brugge's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with OH Leuven 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Charleroi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Charleroi and 0.8 for Cercle Brugge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Charleroi to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charleroi or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charleroi 2–0 Cercle Brugge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charleroi66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
Cercle Brugge14%fair 7.20 · @3.90
2.83Expected goals
2.03Charleroi xG
0.80Cercle Brugge xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Charleroi 2.0 – 0.8 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Charleroi or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Charleroi – last 6
WLWWWW
13 Sep
@ Zulte Waregem
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kortrijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge – last 6
DLLLDD
12 Sep
@ OH Leuven
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gent
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lommel United
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs St. Truiden
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Standard Liege
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleroi and Cercle Brugge.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cercle Brugge 14%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 2–0 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
