Lommel United vs KV Mechelen prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Lommel United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLommel United to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen preview and prediction
The match
KV Mechelen travel to Soevereinstadion in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 19 September (19:45 WAT) to face Lommel United. Lommel United are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while KV Mechelen sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lommel United's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Union St. Gilloise 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
KV Mechelen's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Anderlecht 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lommel United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Lommel United and 1.3 for KV Mechelen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lommel United 41%, draw 24%, KV Mechelen 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Lommel United to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Lommel United 1–1 KV Mechelen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lommel United41%fair 2.41 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
KV Mechelen35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
2.75Expected goals
1.45Lommel United xG
1.30KV Mechelen xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lommel United 1.4 – 1.3 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lommel United to win✗
41%
2.41
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lommel United / FT Lommel United✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Lommel United – last 6
LLWWLD
12 Sep
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–5
L
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KV Mechelen – last 6
LLDLDL
11 Sep
vs Anderlecht
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs KVC Westerlo
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Charleroi
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Standard Liege
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Gent
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and KV Mechelen.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KV Mechelen 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 1–1 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
