St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
St. Truiden to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière preview and prediction
The match
St. Truiden host RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Daio Wasabi Stayen. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while RAAL La Louvière sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Union St. Gilloise 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
RAAL La Louvière's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with KV Mechelen 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for St. Truiden and 1.0 for RAAL La Louvière. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 66%, draw 23%, RAAL La Louvière 11%.
Safer route: St. Truiden or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Truiden to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden66%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
RAAL La Louvière11%fair 9.10 · @4.80
3.50Expected goals
2.46St. Truiden xG
1.04RAAL La Louvière xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.5 – 1.0 RAAL La Louvière expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✓
66%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 6
LWLWDD
2 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Antwerp
4–1
W
27 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–4
L
20 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Lommel United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RAAL La Louvière – last 6
DLLLDD
29 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Standard Liege
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Gent
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Anderlecht
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our pick is St. Truiden to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RAAL La Louvière 11%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
