Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Standard Liege to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStandard Liege to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.25
OH Leuven vs Standard Liege preview and prediction
The match
OH Leuven host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Den Dreef. OH Leuven are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Standard Liege sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
OH Leuven's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Standard Liege's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat RAAL La Louvière 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for OH Leuven and 1.7 for Standard Liege. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: OH Leuven 34%, draw 22%, Standard Liege 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Standard Liege to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: OH Leuven 1–1 Standard Liege. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
OH Leuven34%fair 2.94 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Standard Liege44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
3.25Expected goals
1.51OH Leuven xG
1.75Standard Liege xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: OH Leuven 1.5 – 1.7 Standard Liege expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
On our numbers OH Leuven have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Standard Liege 44%.
How many goals will there be in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
Our predicted score is OH Leuven 1–1 Standard Liege, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
OH Leuven vs Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Den Dreef.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
