Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Kortrijk vs Charleroi preview and prediction
The match
Kortrijk host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Guldensporen Stadion. Kortrijk are 18th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Charleroi sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kortrijk's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Antwerp 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Charleroi's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat KV Mechelen 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Charleroi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Kortrijk and 1.8 for Charleroi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Charleroi to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charleroi or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kortrijk 0–1 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kortrijk20%fair 5.09 · @3.65
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
Charleroi60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.69Expected goals
0.89Kortrijk xG
1.80Charleroi xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kortrijk 0.9 – 1.8 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Charleroi or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Kortrijk – last 6
LLLWDW
15 Aug
vs Antwerp
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Reims
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs KAA Gent II
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Amiens
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Knokke
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WWWLWD
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Seraing United
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Lens
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kortrijk and Charleroi.
Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Kortrijk have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charleroi 60%.
How many goals will there be in Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Kortrijk 0–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kortrijk vs Charleroi?
Kortrijk vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Guldensporen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
