Value bet: Genk to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGenk to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Zulte Waregem vs Genk preview and prediction
The match
Genk travel to Elindus Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT) to face Zulte Waregem. Zulte Waregem are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Genk sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Zulte Waregem's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Beerschot VA 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Genk's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Twente 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Zulte Waregem arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Zulte Waregem and 1.7 for Genk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Genk to win at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Zulte Waregem 1–1 Genk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zulte Waregem28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Genk52%fair 1.93 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.17Zulte Waregem xG
1.71Genk xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Zulte Waregem 1.2 – 1.7 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Zulte Waregem – last 6
DWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Beerschot VA
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
W
18 Jul
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
8 Jul
vs Raków Częstochowa
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ Zelzate
2–1
W
3 Jul
@ Oudenaarde
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Genk – last 6
WWLLLW
2 Aug
vs Twente
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs FC OSS
3–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
22 Jul
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
18 Jul
@ Falkirk
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Motherwell
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zulte Waregem and Genk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
On our numbers Zulte Waregem have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Genk 52%.
How many goals will there be in Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
Our predicted score is Zulte Waregem 1–1 Genk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
Zulte Waregem vs Genk (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Elindus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
