Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Charleroi vs OH Leuven preview and prediction
The match
OH Leuven travel to Stade du Pays de Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT) to face Charleroi. Charleroi are 4th with 27 points from 11 games (in the top four), while OH Leuven sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charleroi's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Rayo Vallecano 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
OH Leuven's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Lille 3–6 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Charleroi and 0.8 for OH Leuven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Charleroi to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charleroi or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charleroi 1–0 OH Leuven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charleroi58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.55
OH Leuven16%fair 6.13 · @4.00
2.57Expected goals
1.75Charleroi xG
0.82OH Leuven xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charleroi 1.7 – 0.8 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and OH Leuven 16%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 1–0 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Charleroi vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
