Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar preview and prediction
The match
Mornar travel to Stadion u Parku in the First League on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT) to face Arsenal Tivat. Arsenal Tivat are 10th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Mornar sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal Tivat's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Grbalj 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Mornar's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Otrant-Olympic 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Mornar 0–0 Arsenal Tivat. Across their last 2 meetings Arsenal Tivat have won 1, Mornar 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Arsenal Tivat and 1.4 for Mornar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tivat 20%, draw 23%, Mornar 57%.
Safer route: Mornar or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tivat20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @2.90
Mornar57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
2.00Expected goals
0.64Arsenal Tivat xG
1.36Mornar xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–014%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 0.6 – 1.4 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mornar 57%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
