First League · Montenegro · Stadion pod VrmcemBokelj vs Petrovac prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.57
Value bet: Bokelj to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bokelj 0.8 – 0.8 Petrovac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bokelj and Petrovac on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bokelj have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Petrovac have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Bokelj come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.6 goals (0.8 for Bokelj, 0.8 for Petrovac). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (20%), 1–0 (17%), 0–1 (15%).
In their last 2 meetings, Bokelj have won 1, Petrovac have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.88. For a bigger price, Bokelj to win at 2.80 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bokelj to win | 38% | 2.61 | 2.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 73% | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw | 27% | 3.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 17% | 5.95 | – |
Form
Bokelj – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Mladost DG | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Jezero | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs Otrant-Olympic | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Mornar | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Arsenal Tivat | 0–0 | D |
Petrovac – last 6
| 28 Sep | vs Mladost DG | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Arsenal Tivat | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Dečić | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Sutjeska | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Mornar | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Petrovac v Bokelj | 0–1 |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Bokelj v Petrovac | 0–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bokelj vs Petrovac?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bokelj vs Petrovac?
On our numbers Bokelj have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Petrovac 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Petrovac?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Bokelj vs Petrovac?
Bokelj vs Petrovac (First League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.