Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Mornar to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic preview and prediction
The match
Mornar host Otrant-Olympic in the First League on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Topolica. Mornar are 3rd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Otrant-Olympic sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mornar's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sutjeska 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Otrant-Olympic's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Bokelj 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Mornar and 0.6 for Otrant-Olympic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Mornar to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mornar 1–0 Otrant-Olympic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mornar63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Otrant-Olympic15%fair 6.75 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.65Mornar xG
0.64Otrant-Olympic xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.7 – 0.6 Otrant-Olympic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.97
–
Form
Mornar – last 6
LWDWWD
8 Sep
@ Sutjeska
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Bokelj
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Petrovac
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Buducnost Podgorica
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Mladost DG
3–2
W
7 Aug
vs Arsenal Tivat
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Otrant-Olympic – last 6
LWWLWD
10 Sep
@ Bokelj
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Buducnost Podgorica
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Arsenal Tivat
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Dečić
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Sutjeska
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Petrovac
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Otrant-Olympic.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
On our numbers Mornar have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Otrant-Olympic 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Otrant-Olympic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
