First League · Montenegro · TuskoDečić vs Petrovac prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Petrovac to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dečić 0.9 – 0.8 Petrovac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Dečić and Petrovac on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Dečić have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Petrovac have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. Dečić come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.9 for Dečić, 0.8 for Petrovac). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (17%), 1–0 (16%), 0–1 (14%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.44. For a bigger price, Petrovac to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dečić to win ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.30 | – |
Form
Dečić – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Mladost DG | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Jezero | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Otrant-Olympic | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Bokelj | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Arsenal Tivat | 0–0 | D |
Petrovac – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Sutjeska | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Mornar | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Mladost DG | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Jezero | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Otrant-Olympic | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Bokelj | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dečić and Petrovac.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dečić vs Petrovac?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dečić vs Petrovac?
On our numbers Dečić have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Petrovac 35%.
How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Petrovac?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
When is Dečić vs Petrovac?
Dečić vs Petrovac (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.