Value bet: Petrovac to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDečić to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Dečić vs Petrovac preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Dečić take on Petrovac on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Tusko. Dečić are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Petrovac sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dečić's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Mladost DG 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Petrovac's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Sutjeska 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dečić arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Dečić and 0.8 for Petrovac. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dečić 40%, draw 25%, Petrovac 35%.
Value angle: Petrovac to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Dečić 0–0 Petrovac. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dečić40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Petrovac35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
1.77Expected goals
0.93Dečić xG
0.84Petrovac xG
39%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Dečić 0.9 – 0.8 Petrovac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dečić to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Form
Dečić – last 6
LWWWWD
5 Sep
@ Mladost DG
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Jezero
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Otrant-Olympic
3–0
W
17 Aug
vs Bokelj
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Buducnost Podgorica
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Arsenal Tivat
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Petrovac – last 6
DDDWDL
4 Sep
vs Sutjeska
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Mornar
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Mladost DG
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Jezero
3–0
W
9 Aug
@ Otrant-Olympic
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Bokelj
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dečić and Petrovac.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Dečić vs Petrovac?
On our numbers Dečić have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Petrovac 35%.
How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Petrovac?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dečić vs Petrovac?
Our predicted score is Dečić 0–0 Petrovac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Dečić vs Petrovac?
Dečić vs Petrovac (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
