First League · Montenegro · DG ArenaMladost DG vs Dečić prediction & analysis
Dečić or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Dečić to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mladost DG 0.8 – 1.6 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dečić shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 20% for Mladost DG.
Mladost DG have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. Dečić have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Dečić come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (0.8 for Mladost DG, 1.6 for Dečić). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mladost DG have won 1, Dečić have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Dečić or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Dečić to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dečić to win ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Dečić or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dečić / FT Dečić ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.81 | – |
Form
Mladost DG – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Sutjeska | 1–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Petrovac | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Mornar | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Jezero | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jul | vs FK Vozdovac | 3–3 | D |
Dečić – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Jezero | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Otrant-Olympic | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Bokelj | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Arsenal Tivat | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jul | vs FK Liepaja | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 8 Apr 2026 | Mladost DG v Dečić | 2–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mladost DG vs Dečić?
Our pick is Dečić or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Dečić?
On our numbers Mladost DG have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dečić 59%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Dečić?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Mladost DG vs Dečić?
Mladost DG vs Dečić (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.