First League · Montenegro · Stadion Pod RacinomJezero vs Arsenal Tivat prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jezero 0.6 – 0.4 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jezero hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 31% for Arsenal Tivat.
Jezero have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Arsenal Tivat have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Jezero come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.0 goals (0.6 for Jezero, 0.4 for Arsenal Tivat). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (37%), 1–0 (22%), 0–1 (15%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jezero to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
Form
Jezero – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Dečić | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Sutjeska | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Petrovac | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Mladost DG | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Mornar | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Jun | @ Iskra | 5–1 | W |
Arsenal Tivat – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Bokelj | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | @ Mornar | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Dečić | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | vs Mladost DG | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jezero and Arsenal Tivat.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat?
On our numbers Jezero have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Tivat 31%.
How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat?
Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.