Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Mornar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mornar to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗62% · fair 1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.89
Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica preview and prediction
The match
Mornar host Buducnost Podgorica in the First League on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion Topolica. Mornar are 3rd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Buducnost Podgorica sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mornar's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Mladost DG 3–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buducnost Podgorica's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tivat 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Mornar 3–0 Buducnost Podgorica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 1.0 for Mornar and 0.4 for Buducnost Podgorica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 85% likely.
Value angle: Mornar to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mornar 0–0 Buducnost Podgorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mornar58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @2.90
Buducnost Podgorica21%fair 4.78 · @3.90
1.33Expected goals
0.97Mornar xG
0.36Buducnost Podgorica xG
46%Both score
15%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–026%
1–026%
2–012%
0–19%
1–19%
2–14%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.0 – 0.4 Buducnost Podgorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?
On our numbers Mornar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buducnost Podgorica 21%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 15% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?
Our predicted score is Mornar 0–0 Buducnost Podgorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?
Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica (First League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
