Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Ruch Chorzów or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ruch Chorzów to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
Pogoń Siedlce host Ruch Chorzów in the I Liga on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ruch Chorzów sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Tychy 71 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ruch Chorzów's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Znicz Pruszków 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ruch Chorzów arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Pogoń Siedlce 2–1 Ruch Chorzów.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.8 for Ruch Chorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 17%, draw 20%, Ruch Chorzów 63%.
Safer route: Ruch Chorzów or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Ruch Chorzów to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ruch Chorzów or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce17%fair 5.79 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Ruch Chorzów63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
2.53Expected goals
0.77Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.76Ruch Chorzów xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.8 – 1.8 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ruch Chorzów 63%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
