Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
Chrobry Głogów host Arka Gdynia in the I Liga on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Chrobrego. Chrobry Głogów are 14th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arka Gdynia sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chrobry Głogów's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Polonia Bytom 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Stal Rzeszów 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Chrobry Głogów and 1.4 for Arka Gdynia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chrobry Głogów 34%, draw 22%, Arka Gdynia 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Arka Gdynia to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chrobry Głogów34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Arka Gdynia44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
2.59Expected goals
1.19Chrobry Głogów xG
1.40Arka Gdynia xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chrobry Głogów 1.2 – 1.4 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
44%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.52
–
Form
Chrobry Głogów – last 6
WDLLLL
29 Oct
vs Polonia Bytom
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Stal Mielec
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Polonia Bytom
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Polonia Warszawa
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LWLLLL
29 Oct
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Nieciecza
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chrobry Głogów and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Chrobry Głogów have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arka Gdynia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia?
Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chrobrego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
