Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Pogoń Siedlce take on Stal Rzeszów on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Stal Rzeszów sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Puszcza Niepołomice 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stal Rzeszów's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Lechia Gdansk 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Stal Rzeszów arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.2 for Stal Rzeszów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 38%, draw 24%, Stal Rzeszów 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Rzeszów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Stal Rzeszów38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
2.45Expected goals
1.23Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.22Stal Rzeszów xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 – 1.2 Stal Rzeszów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Siedlce to win✗
38%
2.63
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Siedlce / FT Pogoń Siedlce✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
LLWDDW
15 Oct
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–3
L
9 Oct
@ Podbeskidzie
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Stal Mielec
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Rzeszów – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Oct
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Karviná
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Odra Opole
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Podbeskidzie
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Rzeszów.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stal Rzeszów 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Rzeszów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.