Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Lechia Gdansk to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLechia Gdansk to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.57
Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
Arka Gdynia travel to Polsat Plus Arena in the I Liga on Sunday 18 October (19:30 WAT) to face Lechia Gdansk. Lechia Gdansk are 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Arka Gdynia sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lechia Gdansk's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Stal Rzeszów 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Polonia Warszawa 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lechia Gdansk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Arka Gdynia 2–2 Lechia Gdansk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Lechia Gdansk and 1.3 for Arka Gdynia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lechia Gdansk 50%, draw 21%, Arka Gdynia 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lechia Gdansk to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Gdansk50%fair 2.02 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Arka Gdynia30%fair 3.39 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.73Lechia Gdansk xG
1.27Arka Gdynia xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.7 – 1.3 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arka Gdynia 30%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
