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I Liga · Poland · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
2–1
FT

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Nieciecza to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNieciecza to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk preview and prediction

The match

The I Liga sees Nieciecza take on Lechia Gdansk on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. Nieciecza are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lechia Gdansk sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Nieciecza's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Wigry Suwałki 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Lechia Gdansk's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Kluczbork 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Lechia Gdansk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdansk.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Nieciecza and 1.1 for Lechia Gdansk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Nieciecza to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nieciecza 2–1 Lechia Gdansk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nieciecza61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.45 · @3.70
Lechia Gdansk24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
1.99Nieciecza xG
1.11Lechia Gdansk xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 2.0 – 1.1 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNieciecza to win ✓61%1.651.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Half-time resultNieciecza ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.10–

Form

Nieciecza – last 6

WDLLLW
1 Sep@ Wigry Suwałki5–1W
28 Aug@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–2D
22 Augvs Polonia Warszawa1–3L
16 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź1–2L
9 Augvs Warta Poznań1–2L
1 Aug@ Pogoń Siedlce2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lechia Gdansk – last 6

WWWLDL
1 Sep@ Kluczbork2–1W
29 Aug@ Polonia Warszawa4–2W
21 Augvs Pogoń Siedlce1–0W
14 Aug@ Ruch Chorzów0–1L
8 Aug@ Podbeskidzie2–2D
31 Julvs Warta Poznań0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Nieciecza v Lechia Gdansk3–2
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our pick is Nieciecza to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lechia Gdansk 24%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 2–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.