Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNieciecza to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Nieciecza take on Lechia Gdansk on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. Nieciecza are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lechia Gdansk sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Wigry Suwałki 5–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Lechia Gdansk's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Kluczbork 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lechia Gdansk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdansk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Nieciecza and 1.1 for Lechia Gdansk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Nieciecza to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nieciecza 2–1 Lechia Gdansk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.45 · @3.70
Lechia Gdansk24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
1.99Nieciecza xG
1.11Lechia Gdansk xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 2.0 – 1.1 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Nieciecza to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lechia Gdansk 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 2–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.