Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań preview and prediction
The match
Warta Poznań travel to Stadion Miejski in the I Liga on Friday 4 September (17:00 WAT) to face Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Warta Poznań sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Podhale Nowy Targ 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Warta Poznań's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Miedz Legnica 1–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and 1.5 for Warta Poznań. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Warta Poznań. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Warta Poznań39%fair 2.59 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.49Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.48Warta Poznań xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.5 – 1.5 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✓
39%
2.57
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
LDDDWW
1 Sep
@ Podhale Nowy Targ
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Nieciecza
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Poznań – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Odra Opole
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Resovia Rzeszów
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Warta Poznań.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Warta Poznań 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
