Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Warszawa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chancePolonia Warszawa or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Polonia Warszawa take on Lechia Gdansk on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii. Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Lechia Gdansk sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Nieciecza 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Lechia Gdansk's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Pogoń Siedlce 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Polonia Warszawa and 0.7 for Lechia Gdansk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 63%, draw 20%, Lechia Gdansk 17%.
Safer route: Polonia Warszawa or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Warszawa to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Lechia Gdansk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Lechia Gdansk17%fair 5.77 · @4.60
2.40Expected goals
1.69Polonia Warszawa xG
0.71Lechia Gdansk xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.7 – 0.7 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Polonia Warszawa or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.52
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WLDWWW
22 Aug
@ Nieciecza
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lechia Gdansk – last 6
WLDLLL
21 Aug
vs Pogoń Siedlce
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Ruch Chorzów
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Podbeskidzie
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Warta Poznań
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Lechia Gdansk.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Polonia Warszawa to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lechia Gdansk 17%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk?
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
