Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStal Mielec to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
Pogoń Siedlce host Stal Mielec in the I Liga on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Lechia Gdansk 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stal Mielec's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to ŁKS Łódź 0–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.8 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 34%, draw 22%, Stal Mielec 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce34%fair 2.96 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Stal Mielec44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
3.30Expected goals
1.53Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.77Stal Mielec xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.5 – 1.8 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Mielec to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
LWDLDW
21 Aug
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Radomiak Radom
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 6
LWDDWL
23 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
5–2
W
8 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Podbeskidzie
3–3
D
26 Jul
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stal Mielec 44%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
