Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chrobry Głogów to win @ 3.25 – our chance 48% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +57%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChrobry Głogów to win ✗48% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Chrobry Głogów take on Warta Poznań on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Chrobrego. Chrobry Głogów are 14th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Warta Poznań sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chrobry Głogów's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Podbeskidzie 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Warta Poznań's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Odra Opole 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Chrobry Głogów 3–1 Warta Poznań.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.9 for Chrobry Głogów and 1.4 for Warta Poznań. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Chrobry Głogów to win at 3.25 – 48% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Warta Poznań. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chrobry Głogów48%fair 2.07 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.45
Warta Poznań27%fair 3.64 · @1.95
3.22Expected goals
1.86Chrobry Głogów xG
1.36Warta Poznań xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chrobry Głogów 1.9 – 1.4 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
On our numbers Chrobry Głogów have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Warta Poznań 27%.
How many goals will there be in Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
Our predicted score is Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chrobrego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
