Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Nieciecza take on Polonia Warszawa on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. Nieciecza are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Polonia Warszawa sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to ŁKS Łódź 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Nieciecza and 1.4 for Polonia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nieciecza 38%, draw 22%, Polonia Warszawa 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Polonia Warszawa40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
2.67Expected goals
1.31Nieciecza xG
1.36Polonia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.3 – 1.4 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✓
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 6
LLWWLD
16 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Warta Poznań
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–6
L
18 Jul
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
LDWWWL
15 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Polonia Warszawa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
