Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Bytom to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Polonia Bytom take on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8. Polonia Bytom are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Polonia Bytom's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Stal Mielec 2–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Stal Rzeszów 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Polonia Bytom and 1.1 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Bytom to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Polonia Bytom 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Bytom64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw14%fair 7.20 · @3.60
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
3.25Expected goals
2.13Polonia Bytom xG
1.11Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Half-time result
Polonia Bytom ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Polonia Bytom – last 6
LDLWLW
16 Aug
@ Stal Mielec
2–5
L
7 Aug
vs Pogoń Siedlce
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Warta Poznań
4–3
W
11 Jul
@ Opava
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
DWWWLL
14 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Legia Warszawa
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Wigry Suwałki
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Polonia Bytom to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
