Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŁKS Łódź to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees ŁKS Łódź take on Stal Mielec on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). ŁKS Łódź are 2nd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ŁKS Łódź's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Nieciecza 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Stal Mielec's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Polonia Bytom 5–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Stal Mielec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Stal Mielec 1–2 ŁKS Łódź.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for ŁKS Łódź and 1.3 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ŁKS Łódź 63%, draw 13%, Stal Mielec 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ŁKS Łódź to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ŁKS Łódź 2–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ŁKS Łódź63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw13%fair 7.87 · @3.80
Stal Mielec24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
3.63Expected goals
2.31ŁKS Łódź xG
1.32Stal Mielec xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: ŁKS Łódź 2.3 – 1.3 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is ŁKS Łódź to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers ŁKS Łódź have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Stal Mielec 24%.
How many goals will there be in ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is ŁKS Łódź 2–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.