Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Miedz Legnica take on Arka Gdynia on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). Miedz Legnica are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Arka Gdynia sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Miedz Legnica's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Unia Skierniewice 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Puszcza Niepołomice 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Miedz Legnica and 1.1 for Arka Gdynia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miedz Legnica 37%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Arka Gdynia to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Miedz Legnica 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miedz Legnica37%fair 2.70 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Arka Gdynia39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.11Miedz Legnica xG
1.14Arka Gdynia xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Miedz Legnica 1.1 – 1.1 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Miedz Legnica – last 6
WLWDWD
16 Aug
@ Unia Skierniewice
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
27 Jul
vs Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
3–2
W
8 Jul
@ Piast Gliwice
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
WLWWWL
17 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–0
W
10 Aug
@ Unia Skierniewice
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
4–0
W
24 Jul
@ Odra Opole
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Luzino
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Miedz Legnica have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arka Gdynia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Miedz Legnica 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
