Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Stal Mielec to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStal Mielec to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Stal Mielec take on Polonia Bytom on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu. Stal Mielec are 11th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Polonia Bytom sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Stal Mielec's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Stal Rzeszów 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Polonia Bytom's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Pogoń Siedlce 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Stal Mielec 4–1 Polonia Bytom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for Stal Mielec and 1.3 for Polonia Bytom. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stal Mielec 64%, draw 16%, Polonia Bytom 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stal Mielec to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stal Mielec 2–1 Polonia Bytom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stal Mielec64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @3.75
Polonia Bytom20%fair 4.90 · @3.10
3.73Expected goals
2.43Stal Mielec xG
1.30Polonia Bytom xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 2.4 – 1.3 Polonia Bytom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
Our pick is Stal Mielec to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Polonia Bytom 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 2–1 Polonia Bytom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
