Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: ŁKS Łódź to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultŁKS Łódź to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceŁKS Łódź or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 8.00
ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees ŁKS Łódź take on Nieciecza on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). ŁKS Łódź are 2nd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Nieciecza sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ŁKS Łódź's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Chrobry Głogów 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nieciecza's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Warta Poznań 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Nieciecza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for ŁKS Łódź and 0.9 for Nieciecza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: ŁKS Łódź to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ŁKS Łódź or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ŁKS Łódź 1–0 Nieciecza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ŁKS Łódź60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.35
Nieciecza18%fair 5.50 · @3.40
2.67Expected goals
1.81ŁKS Łódź xG
0.86Nieciecza xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: ŁKS Łódź 1.8 – 0.9 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ŁKS Łódź to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
ŁKS Łódź or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
ŁKS Łódź ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ŁKS Łódź / FT ŁKS Łódź✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
8.00
–
Form
ŁKS Łódź – last 6
LWDLDL
9 Aug
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Polonia Bytom
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
0–3
L
11 Jul
vs Unia Skierniewice
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Radomiak Radom
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 6
LWWLDW
9 Aug
vs Warta Poznań
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–6
L
18 Jul
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Korona Kielce
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ŁKS Łódź and Nieciecza.
Our pick is ŁKS Łódź or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers ŁKS Łódź have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nieciecza 18%.
How many goals will there be in ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is ŁKS Łódź 1–0 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza?
ŁKS Łódź vs Nieciecza (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
