Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Polonia Warszawa to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chancePolonia Warszawa or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.19
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa host Unia Skierniewice in the I Liga on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii. Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Unia Skierniewice sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Puszcza Niepołomice 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Unia Skierniewice's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Stal Mielec 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Polonia Warszawa and 0.6 for Unia Skierniewice. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 62%, draw 19%, Unia Skierniewice 19%.
Safer route: Polonia Warszawa or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Polonia Warszawa to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Warszawa or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Unia Skierniewice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Unia Skierniewice19%fair 5.26 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.42Polonia Warszawa xG
0.58Unia Skierniewice xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.4 – 0.6 Unia Skierniewice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Warszawa or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.19
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWLLWL
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Pelikan Łowicz
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Unia Skierniewice – last 6
LWDLWL
26 Jul
vs Stal Mielec
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Kalisz
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Pogoń Siedlce
3–0
W
30 May
@ Kalisz
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Unia Skierniewice.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Our pick is Polonia Warszawa or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Unia Skierniewice 19%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Unia Skierniewice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.