The 1. SNL sees Nafta take on Maribor on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT). Nafta are 6th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Maribor sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nafta's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Olimpija Ljubljana 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Maribor's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Bravo 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maribor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Nafta and 2.0 for Maribor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nafta 13%, draw 18%, Maribor 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maribor to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nafta 0–1 Maribor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nafta13%fair 7.65 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @3.90
Maribor69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
2.67Expected goals
0.69Nafta xG
1.98Maribor xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–214%
1–19%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nafta 0.7 – 2.0 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Maribor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Maribor ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Nafta – last 6
LLDWWL
21 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Celje
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 6
WDWDWD
23 Aug
vs Bravo
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Koper
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Celje
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Aluminij
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Maribor.
Our pick is Maribor to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nafta vs Maribor?
On our numbers Nafta have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Maribor 69%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Nafta 0–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Maribor?
Nafta vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
