Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Celje to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceCelje or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
Brinje-Grosuplje host Celje in the 1. SNL on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nogometni park Brinje. Brinje-Grosuplje are 8th with 16 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Brinje-Grosuplje's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Aluminij 2–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Celje's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Slovan Bratislava 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Celje arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Brinje-Grosuplje and 2.0 for Celje. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Celje to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celje or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brinje-Grosuplje 0–2 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brinje-Grosuplje14%fair 7.38 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Celje64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
2.90Expected goals
0.85Brinje-Grosuplje xG
2.05Celje xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Brinje-Grosuplje 0.9 – 2.0 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Celje or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Brinje-Grosuplje – last 6
LLDDLW
21 Aug
@ Aluminij
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Mura
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Bravo
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Koper
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Maribor
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
DDWWWL
26 Aug
vs Slovan Bratislava
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Slovan Bratislava
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Nafta
3–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0
W
4 Aug
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje.
What is the prediction for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Our pick is Celje or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
On our numbers Brinje-Grosuplje have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celje 64%.
How many goals will there be in Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Brinje-Grosuplje 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nogometni park Brinje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
