Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Nafta vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
The 1. SNL sees Nafta take on Celje on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Nafta are 6th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nafta's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Aluminij 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Celje's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Ararat-Armenia 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Nafta and 2.1 for Celje. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nafta 19%, draw 18%, Celje 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celje to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nafta 1–2 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nafta19%fair 5.30 · @3.90
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @3.80
Celje63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.11Expected goals
1.03Nafta xG
2.08Celje xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Nafta 1.0 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✓
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Nafta – last 6
DWWLLL
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
WWLDDD
11 Aug
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0
W
4 Aug
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Maribor
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Celje.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nafta vs Celje?
On our numbers Nafta have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Celje 63%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Celje?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Celje?
Nafta vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
