Value bet: Maribor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaribor to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Maribor vs Koper preview and prediction
The match
Koper travel to Ljudski vrt in the 1. SNL on Sunday 9 August (19:15 WAT) to face Maribor. Maribor are 2nd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Koper sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Maribor's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Celje 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Koper's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Koper arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Koper 3–1 Maribor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Maribor and 0.9 for Koper. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maribor 58%, draw 21%, Koper 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Maribor to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Maribor 1–0 Koper. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maribor58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.70
Koper22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
2.60Expected goals
1.70Maribor xG
0.90Koper xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Maribor 1.7 – 0.9 Koper expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Maribor vs Koper?
On our numbers Maribor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Koper 22%.
How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Koper?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Koper?
Our predicted score is Maribor 1–0 Koper, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Maribor vs Koper?
Maribor vs Koper (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
