The 1. SNL sees Aluminij take on Nafta on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Sportni park Aluminij. Aluminij are 7th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Nafta sit 6th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aluminij's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Olimpija Ljubljana 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Nafta's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Mura 5–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nafta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Aluminij and 1.3 for Nafta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aluminij 40%, draw 23%, Nafta 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aluminij 1–1 Nafta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aluminij40%fair 2.50 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Nafta38%fair 2.66 · @2.66
2.72Expected goals
1.39Aluminij xG
1.34Nafta xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aluminij 1.4 – 1.3 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminij to win✗
40%
2.50
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminij / FT Aluminij✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.98
–
Form
Aluminij – last 6
LLDDLD
2 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Dinamo Tirana
0–3
L
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Maribor
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0–1
L
9 Jul
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nafta – last 6
WWLLLW
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
0–3
L
31 May
vs Primorje
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminij and Nafta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aluminij vs Nafta?
On our numbers Aluminij have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nafta 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Nafta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Nafta?
Our predicted score is Aluminij 1–1 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aluminij vs Nafta?
Aluminij vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportni park Aluminij.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
